Monday, March 24, 2008

Take the risk and get a higher return

A whole life or endowment policy will lock you into a low yield, for the following reasons:

a) the insurance company has to invest 70% of the money in low yielding bonds (to provide the guarantee), and only 30% in equity or property (which gives a higher yield)

b) up to two years of the premium is used to pay commission and marketing expenses.

Here are the yields that you can get on your savings (excluding the portion used to pay for the insurance cover):

3% - from an insurance product, after deducting marketing expenses
4% - from a no-load investment fund, invested with the same mix
6% - from a no-load investment fund, invested 100% in equity.

Here is the amount that you can get by investing $6,000 a year

Duration 3% pa 4% pa 6% pa
10 years $70,800 $74,900 $83,800
20 years $166,000 $186,000 $234,000
30 years $294,000 $359,000 $503,000


An investment fund has risk, but it can be reduced by diversification and investing for the long term.

Question: Do you want a "safe" investment, that gives you $294,000 when a "no-guarantee" investment can give you much more, say $503,000?

Lesson: Take the risk and enjoy a higher return. Avoid paying high front end charges.

1 comment:

  1. Hi Mr. Tan


    For an open-ended fund projection, why do you choose to use a formula based on compounding interest?

    You know that compound interest works on a premise of an existing value. for example, for CPF-OA, if you have $10,000, you can use the compounding formula method.

    For a fund or stock, which are based on pricing, it is not logical or practical at all because there is no guaranteed figure at any time. For example, I buy SIA at $10.20 and based on last year's gain of 10%, can I compound the return and project the value of SIA stock price?

    In my opinion, it is incorrect to use the projected interest or compounded interest to estimate future gain of a fund or stock. It is not accurate and does not make sense.


    R.

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