Estimating the swing against PAP

This webpage shows the swing against the PAP caused by several factors.

https://tklcloud.com/Democracy/swing.aspx

If we add up the swing for the top five factors, we will get 25.22%.

The simulation of GE2020 with a swing of 25.22% shows the following results.

Total seats won by each party
PAP - 30 seats
WP - 28 seats
NSP - 11 seats
SDP - 11 seats
SDA - 6 seats
SPP - 3 seats

https://tklcloud.com/Democracy/show_sim.aspx?id=199

OK, this may be somewhat extreme. The PAP has dropped to 30 seats in parliament.

If we take only the top 3 factors, the swing is 15.47%.

The simulation with this swing shows the following results.

Total seats won by each party
PAP - 76 seats
WP - 13 seats

https://tklcloud.com/Democracy/show_sim.aspx?id=200

The PAP still has a overwhelming control over parliament, which is bad for the people.

If you do not like the simulation, do not argue with me. You can make your own estimate and run your own simulation in this webpage:

https://tklcloud.com/Democracy/sim.aspx

Enjoy.