E-mail: kinlian@gmail.com. Website: www.tankinlian.com Facebook: www.facebook.com/kinlian
Monday, August 23, 2010
Housing prices
According to this article, housing prices in the future will at best keep up with inflation and will not produce the spectacular return in the past. In the near time, it has to correct downwards, i.e. fall by 20% in the USA. I agree with this analysis and believe that this will also apply to Singapore.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Blog Archive
-
►
2013
(306)
- ► 05/19 - 05/26 (7)
- ► 05/12 - 05/19 (20)
- ► 05/05 - 05/12 (20)
- ► 04/28 - 05/05 (20)
- ► 04/21 - 04/28 (4)
- ► 04/14 - 04/21 (5)
- ► 04/07 - 04/14 (11)
- ► 03/31 - 04/07 (6)
- ► 03/24 - 03/31 (14)
- ► 03/17 - 03/24 (10)
- ► 03/10 - 03/17 (6)
- ► 03/03 - 03/10 (6)
- ► 02/24 - 03/03 (10)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24 (19)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17 (21)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10 (23)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03 (29)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27 (28)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20 (38)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13 (9)
-
►
2012
(1270)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06 (18)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30 (22)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23 (19)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16 (14)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09 (14)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02 (20)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25 (28)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18 (23)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11 (26)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04 (23)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28 (24)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21 (7)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14 (28)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07 (37)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30 (45)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23 (32)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16 (20)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09 (33)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02 (28)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26 (23)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19 (22)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12 (38)
- ► 07/29 - 08/05 (30)
- ► 07/22 - 07/29 (27)
- ► 07/15 - 07/22 (15)
- ► 07/08 - 07/15 (19)
- ► 07/01 - 07/08 (10)
- ► 06/24 - 07/01 (19)
- ► 06/17 - 06/24 (23)
- ► 06/10 - 06/17 (21)
- ► 06/03 - 06/10 (21)
- ► 05/27 - 06/03 (21)
- ► 05/20 - 05/27 (23)
- ► 05/13 - 05/20 (28)
- ► 05/06 - 05/13 (28)
- ► 04/29 - 05/06 (24)
- ► 04/22 - 04/29 (23)
- ► 04/15 - 04/22 (26)
- ► 04/08 - 04/15 (13)
- ► 04/01 - 04/08 (23)
- ► 03/25 - 04/01 (18)
- ► 03/18 - 03/25 (16)
- ► 03/11 - 03/18 (23)
- ► 03/04 - 03/11 (32)
- ► 02/26 - 03/04 (28)
- ► 02/19 - 02/26 (45)
- ► 02/12 - 02/19 (27)
- ► 02/05 - 02/12 (18)
- ► 01/29 - 02/05 (31)
- ► 01/22 - 01/29 (22)
- ► 01/15 - 01/22 (21)
- ► 01/08 - 01/15 (25)
- ► 01/01 - 01/08 (26)
-
►
2011
(1873)
- ► 12/25 - 01/01 (22)
- ► 12/18 - 12/25 (29)
- ► 12/11 - 12/18 (32)
- ► 12/04 - 12/11 (33)
- ► 11/27 - 12/04 (24)
- ► 11/20 - 11/27 (26)
- ► 11/13 - 11/20 (35)
- ► 11/06 - 11/13 (33)
- ► 10/30 - 11/06 (32)
- ► 10/23 - 10/30 (17)
- ► 10/16 - 10/23 (40)
- ► 10/09 - 10/16 (35)
- ► 10/02 - 10/09 (34)
- ► 09/25 - 10/02 (24)
- ► 09/18 - 09/25 (25)
- ► 09/11 - 09/18 (22)
- ► 09/04 - 09/11 (26)
- ► 08/28 - 09/04 (27)
- ► 08/21 - 08/28 (31)
- ► 08/14 - 08/21 (38)
- ► 08/07 - 08/14 (37)
- ► 07/31 - 08/07 (25)
- ► 07/24 - 07/31 (17)
- ► 07/17 - 07/24 (23)
- ► 07/10 - 07/17 (24)
- ► 07/03 - 07/10 (35)
- ► 06/26 - 07/03 (38)
- ► 06/19 - 06/26 (36)
- ► 06/12 - 06/19 (37)
- ► 06/05 - 06/12 (48)
- ► 05/29 - 06/05 (50)
- ► 05/22 - 05/29 (27)
- ► 05/15 - 05/22 (32)
- ► 05/08 - 05/15 (41)
- ► 05/01 - 05/08 (52)
- ► 04/24 - 05/01 (65)
- ► 04/17 - 04/24 (61)
- ► 04/10 - 04/17 (42)
- ► 04/03 - 04/10 (58)
- ► 03/27 - 04/03 (40)
- ► 03/20 - 03/27 (41)
- ► 03/13 - 03/20 (29)
- ► 03/06 - 03/13 (45)
- ► 02/27 - 03/06 (47)
- ► 02/20 - 02/27 (58)
- ► 02/13 - 02/20 (27)
- ► 02/06 - 02/13 (40)
- ► 01/30 - 02/06 (44)
- ► 01/23 - 01/30 (36)
- ► 01/16 - 01/23 (46)
- ► 01/09 - 01/16 (58)
- ► 01/02 - 01/09 (29)
-
▼
2010
(2369)
- ► 12/26 - 01/02 (49)
- ► 12/19 - 12/26 (51)
- ► 12/12 - 12/19 (79)
- ► 12/05 - 12/12 (42)
- ► 11/28 - 12/05 (37)
- ► 11/21 - 11/28 (29)
- ► 11/14 - 11/21 (50)
- ► 11/07 - 11/14 (52)
- ► 10/31 - 11/07 (26)
- ► 10/24 - 10/31 (67)
- ► 10/17 - 10/24 (36)
- ► 10/10 - 10/17 (42)
- ► 10/03 - 10/10 (55)
- ► 09/26 - 10/03 (66)
- ► 09/19 - 09/26 (38)
- ► 09/12 - 09/19 (35)
- ► 09/05 - 09/12 (44)
- ► 08/29 - 09/05 (38)
-
▼
08/22 - 08/29
(46)
- Mio TV
- Gambling on credit [3]
- Survey: Gambling on credit
- Govern a society
- Invest in Exchange Traded Fund
- Legacy system of banks
- Short term investment
- Use of CPF for education
- Group Representation Constituencies
- $1.3 billion sports complex
- Easy Ads - prototype
- Immigration
- Enjoy 40% discount on books
- High dividend yields
- Minimum wage in Malaysia
- 5 book bundle
- Invest in Government Bonds
- Bright Tangram
- FIDREC Adjudication process
- Easy Tangram
- Term insurance, payable to 100 years
- Interest rate and bonds
- Abuse by credit card companies
- Google Search now finds PDF
- Inconsiderate marketing people
- Unsuitable life insurance policies
- Insure against unemployment [2]
- New credit card rules in USA
- Singaporeans and our country
- Casino and Rolling Credit
- Betting money
- Insist on cash-only gambling
- Housing prices
- Marketing Flyers
- iGoogle
- Insuring the unexpected
- SOHO office, IT outsourcing
- Stradding buses in Beijing
- Benefit Illustrations - samples
- Gambling on credit
- Bundle deal - Wisdom on How to Live Life
- How to fight cancer
- Mortality charge
- Review of Life Insurance Policies
- Distance based fare - an example
- FISCA Talk on 21 August 2010
- ► 08/15 - 08/22 (55)
- ► 08/08 - 08/15 (51)
- ► 08/01 - 08/08 (48)
- ► 07/25 - 08/01 (62)
- ► 07/18 - 07/25 (71)
- ► 07/11 - 07/18 (61)
- ► 07/04 - 07/11 (66)
- ► 06/27 - 07/04 (52)
- ► 06/20 - 06/27 (47)
- ► 06/13 - 06/20 (42)
- ► 06/06 - 06/13 (32)
- ► 05/30 - 06/06 (42)
- ► 05/23 - 05/30 (19)
- ► 05/16 - 05/23 (48)
- ► 05/09 - 05/16 (43)
- ► 05/02 - 05/09 (35)
- ► 04/25 - 05/02 (53)
- ► 04/18 - 04/25 (45)
- ► 04/11 - 04/18 (44)
- ► 04/04 - 04/11 (45)
- ► 03/28 - 04/04 (37)
- ► 03/21 - 03/28 (44)
- ► 03/14 - 03/21 (56)
- ► 03/07 - 03/14 (45)
- ► 02/28 - 03/07 (36)
- ► 02/21 - 02/28 (35)
- ► 02/14 - 02/21 (40)
- ► 02/07 - 02/14 (49)
- ► 01/31 - 02/07 (62)
- ► 01/24 - 01/31 (37)
- ► 01/17 - 01/24 (24)
- ► 01/10 - 01/17 (33)
- ► 01/03 - 01/10 (28)
-
►
2009
(1655)
- ► 12/27 - 01/03 (30)
- ► 12/20 - 12/27 (48)
- ► 12/13 - 12/20 (22)
- ► 12/06 - 12/13 (16)
- ► 11/29 - 12/06 (25)
- ► 11/22 - 11/29 (40)
- ► 11/15 - 11/22 (36)
- ► 11/08 - 11/15 (32)
- ► 11/01 - 11/08 (40)
- ► 10/25 - 11/01 (42)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25 (37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18 (47)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11 (44)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04 (52)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27 (63)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20 (75)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13 (61)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06 (53)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30 (27)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23 (45)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16 (43)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09 (34)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02 (49)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26 (53)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19 (25)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12 (43)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05 (40)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28 (23)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21 (24)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14 (22)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07 (29)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31 (22)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24 (1)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17 (9)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10 (29)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03 (19)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26 (16)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19 (23)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12 (10)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05 (28)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29 (40)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22 (15)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15 (22)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08 (22)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01 (25)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22 (12)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15 (22)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08 (23)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01 (14)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25 (35)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18 (26)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11 (22)
-
►
2008
(2105)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04 (28)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28 (37)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21 (39)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14 (35)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07 (27)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30 (39)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23 (62)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16 (53)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09 (50)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02 (68)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26 (71)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19 (90)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12 (80)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05 (85)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28 (47)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21 (31)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14 (22)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07 (27)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31 (25)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24 (29)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17 (21)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10 (35)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03 (32)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27 (34)
- ► 07/13 - 07/20 (41)
- ► 07/06 - 07/13 (31)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06 (25)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29 (22)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22 (18)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15 (21)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08 (42)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01 (57)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25 (28)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18 (33)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11 (65)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04 (41)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27 (38)
- ► 04/13 - 04/20 (32)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13 (45)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06 (44)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30 (40)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23 (53)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16 (30)
- ► 03/02 - 03/09 (41)
- ► 02/24 - 03/02 (44)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24 (39)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17 (30)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10 (51)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03 (26)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27 (52)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20 (10)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13 (39)
-
►
2007
(1803)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06 (43)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30 (46)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23 (65)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16 (46)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09 (51)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02 (41)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25 (38)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18 (31)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11 (26)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04 (24)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28 (27)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21 (28)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14 (17)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07 (30)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30 (23)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23 (29)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16 (13)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09 (25)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02 (20)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26 (34)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19 (21)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12 (19)
- ► 07/29 - 08/05 (28)
- ► 07/22 - 07/29 (30)
- ► 07/15 - 07/22 (40)
- ► 07/08 - 07/15 (48)
- ► 07/01 - 07/08 (51)
- ► 06/24 - 07/01 (41)
- ► 06/17 - 06/24 (51)
- ► 06/10 - 06/17 (50)
- ► 06/03 - 06/10 (28)
- ► 05/27 - 06/03 (24)
- ► 05/20 - 05/27 (50)
- ► 05/13 - 05/20 (43)
- ► 05/06 - 05/13 (44)
- ► 04/29 - 05/06 (69)
- ► 04/22 - 04/29 (61)
- ► 04/15 - 04/22 (48)
- ► 04/08 - 04/15 (50)
- ► 04/01 - 04/08 (42)
- ► 03/25 - 04/01 (33)
- ► 03/18 - 03/25 (36)
- ► 03/11 - 03/18 (36)
- ► 03/04 - 03/11 (31)
- ► 02/25 - 03/04 (26)
- ► 02/18 - 02/25 (34)
- ► 02/11 - 02/18 (29)
- ► 02/04 - 02/11 (25)
- ► 01/28 - 02/04 (15)
- ► 01/21 - 01/28 (16)
- ► 01/14 - 01/21 (13)
- ► 01/07 - 01/14 (14)
-
►
2006
(696)
- ► 12/31 - 01/07 (11)
- ► 12/24 - 12/31 (16)
- ► 12/17 - 12/24 (14)
- ► 12/10 - 12/17 (11)
- ► 12/03 - 12/10 (11)
- ► 11/26 - 12/03 (16)
- ► 11/19 - 11/26 (13)
- ► 11/12 - 11/19 (21)
- ► 11/05 - 11/12 (19)
- ► 10/29 - 11/05 (17)
- ► 10/22 - 10/29 (17)
- ► 10/15 - 10/22 (18)
- ► 10/08 - 10/15 (14)
- ► 10/01 - 10/08 (22)
- ► 09/24 - 10/01 (24)
- ► 09/17 - 09/24 (20)
- ► 09/10 - 09/17 (6)
- ► 09/03 - 09/10 (21)
- ► 08/27 - 09/03 (28)
- ► 08/20 - 08/27 (12)
- ► 08/13 - 08/20 (20)
- ► 08/06 - 08/13 (27)
- ► 07/30 - 08/06 (17)
- ► 07/23 - 07/30 (16)
- ► 07/16 - 07/23 (13)
- ► 07/09 - 07/16 (10)
- ► 07/02 - 07/09 (16)
- ► 06/25 - 07/02 (18)
- ► 06/18 - 06/25 (18)
- ► 06/11 - 06/18 (12)
- ► 06/04 - 06/11 (16)
- ► 05/28 - 06/04 (12)
- ► 05/21 - 05/28 (8)
- ► 05/14 - 05/21 (14)
- ► 05/07 - 05/14 (18)
- ► 04/30 - 05/07 (13)
- ► 04/23 - 04/30 (7)
- ► 04/16 - 04/23 (2)
- ► 04/09 - 04/16 (5)
- ► 04/02 - 04/09 (11)
- ► 03/26 - 04/02 (7)
- ► 03/19 - 03/26 (7)
- ► 03/12 - 03/19 (10)
- ► 03/05 - 03/12 (5)
- ► 02/26 - 03/05 (7)
- ► 02/19 - 02/26 (10)
- ► 02/12 - 02/19 (8)
- ► 02/05 - 02/12 (6)
- ► 01/29 - 02/05 (8)
- ► 01/22 - 01/29 (10)
- ► 01/15 - 01/22 (8)
- ► 01/08 - 01/15 (3)
- ► 01/01 - 01/08 (3)
-
►
2005
(159)
- ► 12/25 - 01/01 (3)
- ► 12/18 - 12/25 (5)
- ► 12/11 - 12/18 (12)
- ► 12/04 - 12/11 (18)
- ► 11/20 - 11/27 (5)
- ► 11/13 - 11/20 (3)
- ► 11/06 - 11/13 (4)
- ► 10/30 - 11/06 (6)
- ► 10/16 - 10/23 (7)
- ► 10/09 - 10/16 (5)
- ► 10/02 - 10/09 (5)
- ► 09/25 - 10/02 (5)
- ► 09/11 - 09/18 (2)
- ► 09/04 - 09/11 (7)
- ► 08/28 - 09/04 (3)
- ► 08/21 - 08/28 (4)
- ► 08/14 - 08/21 (4)
- ► 08/07 - 08/14 (4)
- ► 07/31 - 08/07 (3)
- ► 07/24 - 07/31 (7)
- ► 07/17 - 07/24 (6)
- ► 07/10 - 07/17 (5)
- ► 07/03 - 07/10 (1)
- ► 06/26 - 07/03 (4)
- ► 06/19 - 06/26 (2)
- ► 06/05 - 06/12 (5)
- ► 05/22 - 05/29 (3)
- ► 05/15 - 05/22 (4)
- ► 05/08 - 05/15 (1)
- ► 05/01 - 05/08 (4)
- ► 04/24 - 05/01 (3)
- ► 04/17 - 04/24 (5)
- ► 04/10 - 04/17 (2)
- ► 04/03 - 04/10 (1)
- ► 03/20 - 03/27 (1)
6 comments:
Well, I think so too. The real question is - when and to what extent? If anyone can tell me that - then this person is a real genius!
I agree too.
Read my blog posting :-
The Property Bubble & Investment Trap
http://de-leviathan.blogspot.com/2010/08/property-bubble-investment-trap.html
The Property Bubble & Investment Trap Part II
http://de-leviathan.blogspot.com/2010/08/property-bubble-investment-trap-part-ii.html
Housing markets historically speaking in all countries that were studied by economists (i.e. Europe and US) have always kept in pace with inflation and at best provide +1% real returns. It's amazing how Singaporeans treat housing like an "investment" when in reality it is a consumption item.
just dont know how my kids can afford anything. have told them i am prepare to expand the house we live in to accomodate their families when they get married instead of a 30 years burden.
I agree too. There are way too many signs of a bubble.
I think the article refers to the housing market in the USA where the bubble has burst. The housing situation in s'pore is diffirent. The gover has in place policies that would create a property investment market climate, such as allowing high net work non citizens from India , China etc to invest in S'pore property
Post a Comment