Saturday, February 15, 2020

US govt - a model of inconsistency

Yahoo Finance briefing.

The U.S. government has never been a model of consistency—these are the folks who brought us ‘military intelligence’ after all—but maybe that makes sense. With something as big as the federal government, there’s bound to be some conflicting interests. (And we all remember our Emerson, right? “A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds…”)

But lately the inconsistencies—foolish and otherwise—emerging from Washington directed at the tech industry have become truly mind-blowing.

“Some chaos is normal, [but I’ve] never seen an administration this unpredictable,” says Larry Downes, an author and fellow at the Georgetown University Center for Business and Public Policy.

Spot on Larry, though I have to add, it’s getting worse.

In fact this week has been particularly insane. Enough to make a fair mind fairly reel.

Chapter One.

Let’s start with the most jaw-dropping development, the U.S. government charging Chinese telecom giant Huawei with violating the RICO or Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act, which is usually reserved for prosecuting the mafia. I say usually because while the Feds tapped RICO to go after the Gambino, Lucchese and Bonanno families in New York, it’s also been employed against the likes of the Hells Angels and Michael Milken, as well as Major League Baseball, the LAPD, oh and don’t forget, Donald Trump (in the Trump University case). Where RICO hasn’t been used is against a major corporation, never mind a foreign one.

DOJ alleges Huawei was acting as a criminal enterprise by conspiring to steal secrets from a number of unnamed U.S. companies, including perhaps the likes of Cisco and Yahoo’s parent company Verizon. (Huawei is also suing Verizon over alleged patent violations.)

‌Does it make sense to use the same statute against Huawei that was used against John Gotti and Donald Trump? Who knows.

There’s more news on the Huawei v. U.S. government front to consider though.

On Wednesday the Wall Street Journal reported that “U.S. officials say Huawei Technologies Co. can covertly access mobile-phone networks around the world through ‘back doors’ designed for use by law enforcement, as Washington tries to persuade allies to exclude the Chinese company from their networks.” Huawei denied the allegations and those ‘U.S. officials’ didn’t provide much evidence, though they could well be right.

“Huawei of course has the capability [to spy and steal secrets] but Huawei can say with a straight face that there’s no evidence of them having used the capability,” says Nicholas Weaver, staff researcher at the International Computer Science Institute, University of California, Berkeley. “Countries with 5G have a choice: Go with Huawei and let China have an easy mode [to access telco networks.] Or go with European competitors and spend more money.”

Of course the Snowden leaks showed that our very own U.S. government has been accessing telco networks to spy on foreign governments, a point which Huawei made this week.

Also this week came a blockbuster story from the Washington Post which revealed that the CIA—through an encryption company it owned named Crypto—had been reading the secret communications of foreign countries, some of them allies, for decades. A contradiction, yes, but maybe all’s fair in the world of spycraft, just understand we wear no halo.

Also remember that the Justice Department, led by Attorney General Barr himself, has recently been urging Apple to create a back door for the iPhone to help in its investigation of the Navy base shooting in Pensacola last year. Apple has pointed out that if it creates such a back door, inquiring minds from around the globe—including the People's Liberation Army—will look to crack iPhones too.

Chapter Two.

‌A federal judge ordered that Microsoft cease work on the $10 billion cloud-computing Jedi contract for the Pentagon, a victory for Amazon, which had challenged the awarding of the contract. Naturally the contract had been awarded previously to Microsoft by another branch of the federal government, the Department of Defense. That the contract was not awarded to Amazon, but to its crosstown-Seattle-rival Microsoft, came as a shock to those following the bidding, until one considers President Trump’s state of mind.

Amazon’s 103-page suit alleges the contract was awarded to Microsoft, because of “improper pressure from President Donald J. Trump, who launched repeated public and behind-the-scenes attacks to steer the JEDI Contract away from AWS [Amazon Web Services] to harm his perceived political enemy-Jeffrey P. Bezos, founder and CEO of AWS's parent company, Amazon.com, Inc. ('Amazon'), and owner of the Washington Post.”

At some point this will get sorted out and either Amazon or Microsoft will be running the $10 billion contract, but consider what this litigious maw is doing to the competitive position of the United States in the meantime.

Wait, I know! It’s detracting from that!

Please note that President Trump doesn’t always hate on Amazon. This week POTUS delighted in pointing out that the first four letters of the trillion-dollar-market-cap tech giants’ names; Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Amazon, spell MAGA. (Sorry Facebook.)

Chapter Three.

‌Also this week the Federal Trade Commission announced that it would begin investigating all manner of acquisitions made by Facebook, Google, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft. The point here is the FTC is concerned tech giants have been acting anti-competitively by buying up small companies and start-ups (the Feds typically review only deals over $90 million) to squelch potential threats to their businesses. It’s a point I made last year when I noted that FB, GOOGL, AMZN and AAPL had bought some 500 companies over the past two decades with much of that buying over the past five years.

Chapter Four.

‌While it’s nice to hear that the government is getting tough on antitrust, except that also this week a federal judge approved the takeover of Sprint by T-Mobile, clearing the way for a merger that had been in the works almost since the days of the princess phone.

Is the Sprint/T-Mobile deal different from Facebook buying British AI start-up Scape Technologies, which TechCrunch reported it did for $40 million late last week? Sure. Is the Sprint/T-Mobile deal better or worse for consumers than the Facebook-Scape deal? I have no idea. Bet you $40 million Washington has no idea either.

Of course a federal judge approved another big telco deal not that long ago—the AT&T-Time Warner merger—but did so over the objections of the Department of Justice, which to my mind and others’ was acting at the behest of President Trump because of his dislike of TimeWarner’s CNN. (See a trend here?)

For a moment I thought I saw some kind of logic or pattern to the greenlighting, blocking or investigating of these tech, media and telco deals. Then I realized it was just my hobgoblin acting up again.

Chapter Five.

This one may be the strangest yet if you can imagine. Are you up to speed on chipmaker Qualcomm and its bizarro legal battle which played out in a San Francisco courtroom this week? The twists and turns of this case will make your head spin, but the bottom line is that the Federal Trade Commission has accused QCOM of monopolistic behavior in the smartphone chip business. But get this, taking the side of Qualcomm and fighting the FCC is none other than the Department of Justice! That’s right. The DOJ is arguing that the FTC’s actions against Qualcomm “threaten competition, innovation and national security.”

Unbelievable right?

Yes, it is unprecedented.

Yes, it is your tax dollars at work.

I know what you might be thinking. That Donald Trump is a disrupter. That he’s shaking things up that needed shaking. Maybe. But that’s not what I see. What I see when it comes to oversight of tech, media and telecom companies is policy driven by personal vendettas and conflicting agendas.

“What have we done,” asks Downes of Georgetown University. “Nothing. Has Congress passed laws? None. [Any] court cases? Zero. A lot of sound and fury, noise. From a concrete standpoint, nothing.”

In January 2017 Denmark appointed the world’s first ambassador to the tech industry. It’s a new twist in the history of diplomacy and a bit of a gimmick, but Denmark understands that American tech companies are a force unprecedented in scale and scope. “These companies have become a type of new nations and we need to confront that,” said Denmark’s Foreign Minister Anders Samuelsen. I bet Metternich would approve.

As for U.S. lawmakers, they 1) don’t understand the power of these companies, 2) are in complete disarray and 3) are using metrics and analytics from pre-digital times.

But wait, didn’t the government do something this week?

Chapter Six.

Two U.S. senators introduced plans (again, it was quite the week) to reign in big tech. Senator (and former presidential candidate) Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) proposed the creation of a new independent government entity, Data Protection Agency (DPA), to oversee Silicon Valley et al. “The tech giants — Google and Facebook among them—have been the clear winners of our transition to the digital age,” Gillibrand said in her blog post outlining the measure. Will anything come of it? Probably not. “Congress has been skeptical about the establishment of a brand-new agency for data protection,” the Verge writes.

Senator Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) has another idea. He put forth a plan to roll up the FTC, which he said “is in no shape to ensure competition in today’s markets, let alone tomorrow’s,” into guess where, the Department of Justice. Remember this is the same DOJ that’s snuggled up with Qualcomm and carried President Trump’s water trying to block the AT&T/Time Warner merger.

Sigh.

Is there a plan here, or any consistency at all? No and not a single iota.

Commentary by Andy Serwer, editor-in-chief Follow him at @serwer

Friday, February 14, 2020

Reduce overproduction and wastage

Maria May said:

I believe there is a collective urgent need to recognize our priorities and bring our focus right.

Today, the world is over producing, advertisements manipulate consumers to buying more then necessary, wastage etc.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2577

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Will Tesla shares hit $1,000?
2. Is it good to have autonomous buses without drivers?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Did the central govt hide the severity of the coronavirus epidemic?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 71% of the respondents said that the central govt in China was not involved in hiding the severity of the coronavirus episode. 29% think that they were involved.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1839

WOTC - Should face masks be mailed to recipients?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 76% of the respondents said that the face masks should be sent to the homes by mail, rather than ask the recipients to queue up and collect them .

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1838

Thursday, February 13, 2020

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should manual jobs be reserved for locals?
2. Is temperature screening a good approach to stop the spread of the virus?
Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Source of the coronavirus

Wisdom of the Crowd: 46% of the respondents said that the source of the coronavirus is the wet market for live animals in Wuhan. Another 46% said that it escaped from the biological research lab in Wuhan. 8% said that it was planted by a malicious foreign power.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1837

WOTC - Should Singaporeans support stalls operated by locals?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 77% of the respondents said that Singaporeans should patronize stalls based on the quality and price and treat all stalls equally, regardless of the nationality of the stall holder. 23% said that they should support stalls run by locals.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1836

Wednesday, February 12, 2020

Get everyone to have a temperature screen once a week

This is what I gathered from reading many sources.

When a person is infected with the coronavirus, it may stay in the body for several weeks or months before they become serious ill.

So, many people may be discovered quite late, way beyond the 14 day incubation period. If so, quarantine is not useful.

It is better to make everyone go through a temperature screen at least once a week. It will identify those people with symptoms of the coronavirus. They can be sent to hospital.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2570

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues



1. Should we allow PMDs back on foot paths?
2. Should we give a new name to footpath?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

An alternative approach to temperature screening

When DORSCON Orange was activated, workplaces have to activate temperature screening of their workers. Schools have to activate screening of their students. This has caused long queues and chaos at many locations.

The chaos can be described as "teething problems" and after a while, the problems can be sorted out. However, it will continue to require a lot of time to be spent by staff and teachers to carry out the daily temperature screening. Worse, it may not achieve the purpose of identifying people who are infected with the virus and sending them for treatment.

The same person may have to be screened several times during a day, e.g. at the workplace and the mall. Some people may not be screened as they do not visit the places that require screening.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2569

Wisdom of the Crowd

Vote on these issues and win a prize.

https://tklcloud.com/crowd2/active_issue.aspx

MAS should give guidance to banks on how to observe money laundering regulations

This is based on my understanding. If I am wrong, the finance minister can apply POFMA and give a correction order.

I understand that MAS expects banks to observe the money laundering regulations but do not give guidance to the banks on what are acceptable and practical measures. They leave this matter to the banks to decide.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2566

How to pay to a China manufacturer

Here is my finding on how to pay to a manufacturer in China (outside of the Taopao or Ali Express website).

a) Do not pay by PayPal - they usually charge a service fee of USD 18

b) The best is to get a friend to pay in RMB from a WeChat or AliPay wallet. You can reimburse your friend with SGD using PayNow.

c) Do not use DBS Remit. They ask you to give the bank code CNAP), bank account number, NRIC, name of the payee in English and Chinese and the address. (Actually, they only need the bank code and account number. the other details are to give hassle to their customer and chase them away. It is typical of kiasu Singapore practice).

d) Use Transferwise. They ask for the Union Pay credit card number. (This is easier than getting the bank code and account number).

WOTC - Intermedia media reporting on Wuhan virus epidemic

Wisdom of the Crowd: 54% of the respondents said that the international media has reported the Wuhan virus epidemic fairly. 46% said that they were biased and have sensationalised it.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1835

WOTC - Beijing govt transparency on Wuhan virus epidemic

Wisdom of the Crowd: 54% of the participants said that the Beijing govt has been transparent in telling the world about the Wuhan virus epidemic. 46% said that they have not.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1834

Tuesday, February 11, 2020

So much hassle to use DBS Remit

I wanted to send some money to a manufacturer in China through DBS Remit.

I had so much trouble. I am convinced that the person who design the system is an idiot.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2565

Stop the spread of coronavirus

Here is a more efficient and effective way to stop the spread of the coronavirus.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2560

What is the impact of coronavirus being airborne?

There is a post that the coronavirus is now airborne. The experts said that the spread through surface contact is more active than the airborne virus.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2561

Monday, February 10, 2020

Are we adopting the correct strategy to deal with the spread of coronavirus?

I listened to this video where health minister Gan KY explaining about the coronavirus.

It seems to me that our strategy of quarantine and contact tracing is not a good approach. I offer an alternative.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2560

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. What are suitable as quarantine centers?
2. Should we intensify temperature checks?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - How to avoid being infected

Wisdom of the Crowd: The respondents chose the following options to avoid being infected with the Wuhan virus - wash hands often and stay away from people who sneeze (50%), stay at home (28%), wear a face mask (12%), don't visit malls (9%).

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1832

WOTC - Temperature check at Johor checkpoints

Wisdom of the Crowd: 52% of the respondents said that temperature check should be implemented at the Johor checkpoint for our safety. 48% think that it is not necessary.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1832

Sunday, February 09, 2020

Take sensible measures to reduce the risk, but do not be alarmed

Up to now, I am still quite relaxed about the risk of coronavirus in Singapore.

It is still quite safe in Singapore, because the number of infected people is less than 100 and nobody died yet.

I know that there is a small spread of infection, but the scale is still small.

It may get worse, or it may not.

I think we do not need to worry excessively for these reasons:

a) Unlike Hubei which is now in winter, Singapore has a hot climate all year round. The harm from the virus should be lower. Many people died because of the cold weather and the infection from the virus causing pneumonia.

b) Most of the infected people will survive. Some will reach a severe stage, but they will also survive. Some may die, but it will not be in alarming numbers.

(Don't tell me about the rubbish that every life is precious - it is not a logical way to deal with the problem).

So, for the time being - no face mask for me. And no scramble for groceries. (I am speaking for myself. My family may not agree with me, but they are more typical Sinkie).

So, I don't agree with the code Orange, but anyway, the harm is done, and panic has been caused. Th groceries in most supermarkets are sold out.

Some people said that the situation in Wuhan and Hubei is very serious. I agree. But it does not mean that Singapore or the whole world is in that situation. We need to see what our real risk is. We should not use the situation in Wuhan as the basis to plan our response.

Looking ahead, I think the govt should use the army barracks in Pulau Ubin and Tekong, the university hostels and hotel rooms are quarantine centers to handle the 30,000 workers from China who are returning to Singapore.

I do not agree with the govt's plan to quarantine the 30,000 workers at home. It is too risky and unfair to the workers and their landlords.

We should allow the workers to return to Singapore in batches that can be accommodated in the quarantine centers. These centers should be manned by specially employed people who can manage the quarantine procedures.

Although I may appear to be unalarmed, I would support sensible measures, such as quarantine, to reduce the risk.

The situation may get much worse than I expect, but it may not. Let us wait to see what really happens. We should not project the worse case and plan on that basis.

So, i will not be wearing any mask for the time being But I will wash my hands 10 times a day - I promise.

Tan Kin Lian


https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2556




Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. Was it appropriate for the minister of health to issue DORSCON Orange?
2. How should the govt deal with 30,000 returning workers from China?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Stop the spread of fake news on coronavirus

Wisdom of the Crowd: 83% of the respondents said that the govt should give the facts of the virus to combat the spread of fake news. 17% suggested other measures. None opted for POFMA to be applied.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1831

WOTC - Evacuate citizens from Wuhan

Wisdom of the Crowd: 84% of the respondents said that the govt should evacuate all citizens from Wuhan and bear the full cost of the evacuation.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1830

Use hotels for quarantine

30,000 workers from China will be returning to Singapore after the Chinese New Year holidays. Some of them may be infected with the coronavirus.

The govt has decided that they should be placed under 14 days leave of absence. This is probably due to the lack of accommodation to place so many people under state supervised quarantine.

I suggest the following measure to deal with the challenge.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2555

Give more information about coronavirus to assure the public

Give more information about coronavirus to assure the public

I hope that the minister can give the answers to the following questions:
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2554

Saturday, February 08, 2020

Install solar panels on roofs

Hi Kin Lian,

See my monthly report from my solar PV system. It shows the kwh my system has produced for me. In terms of trees, its like having 15 trees absorb the CO2 and that's just for my little home. It has also halved my electricity bill.

I think spore being on the equator, the govt should go all out putting PV panels on all public buildings especially those with large roof areas. They should use govt funds to deploy PV panels on HDB roof tops and try and offset the electricity consumed per block for common areas.

Do so on HDB roofs as there are no trees tall enough to drop leaves onto. The need to maintain the systems should also create not an insignificant number of jobs which I'm sure even ITE grads can take up.

Doing this on a large scale will help the economy move towards "new industries" and "post industrial revolution" sectors of the economy. The flow on effects (from an economist's perspective) should then be exploited to create even more jobs in the "new economy".

This is at least one way spore can capitalise on its location - being at the equator.

Of course the current govt will not listen, having already given Elon Musk the cold shoulder. I suspect they want to "protect" their oil refining industry. Or maybe they are just short sighted. But spore can and should have both. I also wonder if the oil refining industry on Jurong island employ PV panels on a large scale to help power their operations.

Daniel


Minister Masagoes - are you listening?


https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/vote.aspx?id=2553

Gilead Science - cure for coronavirus

Hi Mr Tan,
What do you think about Gilead science stock, the company may possibly be the only company now in the world which can provide effective cure to Wuhan virus patients?

My views here:
https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=680

Get ready for food rationing

The minister for health issued DORSCON orange. It led to a panic with many people rushing to buy and stockpile food. What would happen when we get DORSCON red?

I suggest that the govt starts preparation for food rationing. It should work like this.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2549

Introduce a common 2FA system for govt agencies and financial institutions

We need to introduce a common 2FA system for govt agencies and financial institutions.
I share my experience with Facebook and Google and suggest how it can be done.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2548

Facebook and Google implemented 2FA authentication very well

Facebook asked me to implement a 2FA authentication for my page. They did it very well.

Here is my experience:

a) The target my page because it is a high profile page. Fair enough.
b) The 2FA authentication is required only if I use a device that is not my regular device. (Wow - that makes a lot of sense).
c) The allow me to use a third party authenticator and suggested two of them. I chose Google Authenticator. I have to scan their QR code to link the servers. It was easy.
d) The Google authenticator generate a 6 digit code which I entered to Facebook (it is easy).

I hope that our govt agencies, such as GovTech, learn from the real experts, such as Facebook and Google, on how to handle 2FA. They have common sense.

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should we introduce a system of rationing for food?
2. Is the minister for health managing the coronavirus crisis well?
Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Cost of treating the coronavirus epidemic

Wisdom of the Crowd: 42% of the respondents said that the govt should bear the full cost of treating the coronavirus epidemic. 33% said that the govt should bear what is not covered by medisave and medishield. 19% said that the cost of treating the coronavirus should be subsidised.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1829

WOTC - LHL's biggest mistake as PM

Wisdom of the Crowd: 41% of the respondents said that LHL's biggest mistake as PM is to allow the large increase in population. Another 41% said that it is the bad social and economic policies that he introduced.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1828

Friday, February 07, 2020

Not lucky with Tesla shares last night

I was unfortunate with Tesla last night. I placed an order to buy 50 shares at $680. It went to $685 but never hit my order.

Close to midnight, it suddenly jumped from $710 to $760. It was a large jump.

I bought the 50 shares at that price, thinking that it might lead to another bull run. (It happened like that three days earlier).

The price did continue to run to $795 but dropped after that to $750.

I am holding to a small paper loss. I will wait for the price to drop further before I buy another 50 shares.

I will keep them as long term investments. The current price of $750 is high, but I am afraid it will not drop back to $600.

I believe that Tesla will disrupt the car market and that electric cars will get a big market share in the future.




Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. Are the people of China generally quite patriotic?
2. Are most democratic countries running their election process fairly and efficiently?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - LKY's biggest mistake

Wisdom of the Crowd: 44% of the respondents considered LKY's biggest mistake to be the "stop at two" policy. 41% said that it is appointing LHL to be in charged. 14% said that it is continuing to be actively in charge after stepping down.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1827

WOTC - Will the Wuhan virus get out of control?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 50% of the respondents said that the Wuhan virus is already out of control or will get worse as the time goes by. The other 50% expect the virus to be controlled soon.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1826

How to provide an excellent call center service?

Are you fed up with the "terrible call center experience" that is provided by most organizations?

Do you like a new approach, e.g. one that is described here?

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2543

Be positive and supportive

If someone puts up a suggestion and I generally agree with the concept, I show my support for it.

I want to be positive and supportive. it is difficult for a new idea to be accepted. I want to encourage it.

If I have strong reasons to disagree, I will polite give my point of view and provide the facts (as I know them) and my reasons.

I will not suggest that the other person's view is wrong. I may have misread that view, or may not have the facts that the other person has.

I do not want to appear "clever". I also avoid judging the other person's view.

It is rude to disagree with another person's view just because one has a different view. This attitude is arrogant and disrespectful.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2542

Thursday, February 06, 2020

Do not try to act "clever" when you are not

When somebody gives a suggestion to improve a situation and I agree with the concept generally, I support it.

I do not "modify" that suggestion on minor details. I am not that "clever".

I feel tired about people who try to show that they are "clever" when in fact they are quite stupid. These stupid people think that they can judge other people when their sense sense of judgment is flawed.

We have many of this kind of people in Singapore, It must be the result of our education system.

I would not agree with a view when I have fundamental reasons against it. It has to be a significant disagreement, rather than a minor "adjustment".

For example, I say "reduce full time national service to one year". Some "smart" people will argue that it has to be slightly longer than one year.

These people do not know that I have done a lot of research on the approach taken by several other countries before I come to my conclusion. They give their opinion without proper research or understanding. I consider their view to be "shallow".

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2541







How to handle an election fairly and efficiently

Many countries mess up their election process. Even the states in America have problems in carrying it out in an fair and efficient manner. There were disputes about election results that had to go to court.

Sometimes, I wonder if the mess was created deliberately to favor certain parties in power. Or they were due to plain inefficiency and stupidity.

The same kind of problems occur in many other countries using the democratic process. There were often allegations of vote rigging or outright dishonesty.

Let me suggest how the election can be carried out fairly and efficiently.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2540

30,000 foreign workers returning from China

30,000 foreign workers, mostly on work permits, will be returning from China after the Chinese New Year.

There is a high risk that some of them might be infected with the novel coronavirus.

The govt is in a dilemma. What can they do?

Here are my views.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2539

Quora: Is Trump's China trade war a disaster? If so, why is it still continuing?

Alan Higgins, Sole Prop at Self-Employment
Answered Aug 15

The defining feature of a megalomaniac is the inability to see his own errors.
And here we have Trump, the leader of a 250 year old country, declaring a trade war against a thousand+ year old international trading giant.
China has more people, minerals, oil, power, water and land, and more importantly a long term strategic development plan. Trump has? well he’s got to win the election next year. So his plan is to do what looks good for the electorate NOW, and fuck the year after next, he’ll think of something spectacular then. and he can always blame it on the libtards/media/wetbacks/camel jocks- if he shouts loud enough.

Respect the constitution

People should respect the constitution of their country - in Thailand, America, China and even in Singapore.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2534

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should people under home quarantine and leave of absence be e-tagged?
2. China response to the novel coronavirus is laudable.
Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Wednesday, February 05, 2020

The risk is still quite low in Singapore

I want to give my perspective about the risk of the novel coronavirus or nCOV infection in Singapore.

I am one of the few who said that the risk is quite small. There is no need to over-react to the risk.

I know that I may be wrong, as things may turn out to be worse quite quickly. But until that happens, I wish to say - do not worry excessively or over-react to this risk.

If you wish to wear a face mask, go ahead. If you wish to wash your hands 50 times a day, go ahead. If you wish to avoid crowded places, by all means. Do what you feel is comfortable.

For me, I will carry on life as usual, i.e. no face masks. And I will continue to take public transport and visit malls.

Maybe, I will wash my hands more frequently and avoid rubbing my hands over my face. And I will pay attention and avoid people who cough.

Let me say why I think the risk is still very low in Singapore. If the infection is widespread, we will get a few thousand people who are infected by now. But we do not have this number. It is still just a handful.

The government has placed a few hundred people on quarantine or on leave of absence. I am not sure if this is really necessary, but I guess it is better to be safe, rather than sorry. Maybe these measures have been effective in stopping the spread of the virus.

I wonder what happens when someone is infected. If the person is healthy, he will not die from the virus. He will probably recover. the recovery rate is 98% but it does take some time.

Perhaps the risk is that during the time until complete recovery, he may infect other people who may be less healthy. this is probably the real risk.

OK, let us take the necessary hygiene measures to stop being infected and spreading the infection to other people.

A few people have spoken about the possibility that the virus may mutate and become more aggressive. There is nothing that ordinary people can do about this risk. We have to leave it to the doctors and the researchers.

I have seen a few videos and messages that are being shared that paint a dire situation. They are mostly exaggeration. Yes, thing could get worse, but it might not happen. Anyway, there is nothing that we can do about it, except to take the necessary precautions. It does not help to cause widespread alarm.

I am still optimistic that the infection and deaths will reduce in a week or two. And, like SARS, the nCOV will be forgotten by summer or later in the year.

Tan Kin Lian


https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2533










Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. Do you expect the Wuhan virus to disappear by summer?
2. Will you wear a face mask as a precaution?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Tuesday, February 04, 2020

How to avoid the mess up in the Iowa caucus

The state of Iowa conducted a caucus (like an election) for the Democratic party members to select their candidate. It has a population of 3.1 million. Maybe the participants, being party members could be 500,000?

It was a big mess - also described as SNAFU (situation normal, all fouled up).

The New York Times explained it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/04/us/politics/what-happened-iowa-caucuses.html

What is a good way to report the results? The app is a bad idea. It did not work. The telephone call is a bad idea. The lines got jammed up.

Why don't they consult me?

This is what I would do.

I would ask the caucus chair at each location to write the results on a piece of paper and signed it. Take a photo. end it by WhatsApp to the headquarters. Maybe there will be several WhatsApp groups for different zones.

The volunteer in charge of the WhatsApp group will enter the results into the server. Another volunteer will check the results. The entered results will be sent back by SMS to the caucus chair.

That's it.

Sure to work well.

Tan Kin Lian

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2529

Give the face masks to people who need them more

I saw some comments in the Internet - why are the people in China using face masks all over the place, and yet our own govt leaders said that there is no need to use face mask in Singapore. Are our leaders exposing our citizens to high risks?

I wish to address this question.

The level of risk is quite different.

a) In China, there are a few tens of thousand of known infected cases and many more that are not known yet. They could be under the incubation period. In Singapore, the known infected cases are just a handful. The unknown cases are probably quite rare.

b) It is winter in China. the risk of the virus spreading in a cold climate and causing a lot of harm to the victim is quite high. In a hot climate, like in Singapore, the risk is quite small. Even if a frail person is infected, the risk of fatality is much lower in a hot climate compared to a cold climate.

If a person is not sick, there is no need to wear the face mask. The risk of a healthy person being infected is very small. I do not wear the face mask. I do not see any need for it.

There is a shortage of face masks around the world. We need them much less than the people in cold climate. We certainly need them much less than the people in China where the number of infected people is the highest in the world.

Let us not hoard the precious masks. Let the people who need them more have access to them.

Tan Kin Lian

Do you agree with this view?



Use electronic tagging for home quarantine

About 30,000 work permit holders from China will be returning to Singapore. They are asked to be take leave and to stay at home on quarantine for 14 days.

There is the risk that some of them may not observe the home quarantine. They may move about the community and pose a risk to the public.

There are insufficient places in a quarantine center to handle such a large number of people.

What is an alternative? I suggest electronic tagging. Do you agree?
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2527

A cheaper way to buy from China manufacturers

I ordered a few samples of devices from manufacturers in China.

I was surprised that the shipping cost is very expensive, typically USD $80 per deliver. The fee to pay by PalPal is USD 15.

I found that I could ask the manufacturer to send the products to a vPost address in Shenzhen. From there, I could aggregate the items and get vPost to send them to Singapore.

I do not know the actual charges, but I suspect that it should be lower than USD $80. Furthermore, I could consolidate the purchases from a few manufacturers.

To avoid PayPal, I asked my friends to pay to the manufacturers using their WeChat accounts. I reimbursed them with PayNow.

However, this is troublesome for my friends. In the future, I will use DBS Remit. They do not charge any fee and the currency conversion rate is less than 1%. It is acceptable to me.


What did I order? Find out here:
https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=679

Be considerate to pedestrians

In planning the pedestrian crossing, the planners are quite inconsiderate to pedestrians and made them wait longer than necessary.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2523

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. Should the face masks be sent to households by mail?
2. Was China attempting to hide the severity of the Wuhan virus?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Distribution of scarce essential commodities

Why did the govt distribute the 4 face mask per household by personal collection, rather than sending them by mail?

Most people felt that it would be more efficient to use the mail. The value of the distributed item is small.

My guess is that the govt wants to put into place the mechanism for distribution of scarce items in the future. I have mentioned the need to be prepared to have a system in place in this post.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2503

Who knows? Maybe the govt has people who monitors my posting and recognize the need to have a system in place?

Today, it may be face masks. In the future, it might be food or water or other essential commodities.

We need to have a system in place. We need to learn from the practical experience Agree?

New York Times - lower death rate compared to SARS

New York Times:

China’s coronavirus death toll exceeds that of SARS
Only three weeks since emerging in the city of Wuhan, the new coronavirus has killed more than 360 people out of some 17,200 infected in mainland China, surpassing the toll of 349 there from the SARS outbreak in the early 2000s.
Though the virus seems to be readily transmitted between humans, its apparent death rate of about 2 percent is lower than the 9.6 percent for SARS, and recoveries have risen.




Monday, February 03, 2020

Helping the tourism sector tide over the economic slowdown

How can the govt help the tourism sector tide over the economic slowdown caused by the Wuhan virus?

Here are my suggestions.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2522

LTA should operate a network of local services

I passed my a private shuttle bus at Yio Chu Kang station. It was waiting for passengers who want to go to Grande Vista, which is near my home. I think they charge $1.

I walked home. After 25 minutes, when I was approaching my home, I saw the shuttle turn the corner into Cactus Road. It has a small handful of passengers.

This shuttle is costly and not convenient.

I believe that hospitals also operate shuttle services to the nearby MRT stations. It is also costly to operate and not efficient. The travelling time is long, as it has to loop to many side roads.

I prefer the LTA to operate a network of local services, so that these private shuttles are not necessary. We need to have a more efficient network and to use our resources more efficiently.

Do you agree?

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2521

Build a network of underground walkways

For the past few years, I have been thinking about the concept of building an elevated walkway for pedestrians. They can walk on the elevated walkway for a long distance and do not need to cross traffic junctions.

I know that this is costly, but it is also costly to construct footpaths and controlled crossings.

There are problems with building the elected walkways because of the trees that are planted on the side and middle of the roads.

How about building underground walkways that can stretch for long distances?

It can be build below the level that carry the electric and communication cables. It does not matter that the tunnel is lower, as the access will be by elevators and lifts.

There are technology that can be used to bore tunnels, so the cost may be acceptable. These tunnels can also be used to carry cables, so there will be less need for road work to install cables.

Should the tunnels be air conditioned? Maybe yes, maybe no. I think it should be possible to have the tunnels well ventilated and kept cool.

We can build some stalls along the way for people to have a meal or coffee.

What about security? There should be no problem, as cameras can be installed along the underground walkways to prevent crime.

What are the benefits? Many people can use the tunnel to cross many roads to reach the train station and bus interchange. Walking is good for their health.

Does this make economic and social sense?

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2517

Wash and re-use the face mask?

During my 70 min walk to the office, I observed about 1 in 7 pedestrians wearing the face mask.

A thought crossed my mind. We have been told that the face mask should be used once, and then disposed off.

Maybe, it is OK for the user to wash the face mask in hot water and re-use it? Why?

The mask helps to some extent to prevent the wearer from catching the coronavirus that may come from an infected person and be floating in the air. I know that it is not perfect, but it help to some extent.

If the wearer is sick, the hot water could remove the virus. It may not remove the virus totally, but it does come from the body of the wearer, so it does not cause any further harm.

I am not talking about the masks that are used in the hospitals. They should be disposed after each use. But it should be approached differently for the ordinary users.

The manufacturer will like the masks to be used only once, so that they can boost their sales. Maybe, the masks can be re-used quite safely? What do you think?







Wisdom of the Crowd - win a prize

Vote on these issues and win a prize.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/active_issue.aspx

Healthy Lifestyle app

I wear two fitness bands. One is the Xiaomi band, which I have been using for a year. The other is the Axtro band issued by the Health Promotion Board.

I asked the HPB to allow the Xiaomi band to be linked to the Healthy 365 app to record my daily steps. The HPB replied that they are not able to cater for Xiaomi, as they have to be selective. So, I end up wearing two bands.

What is the real reason? Read on.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2516

Sunday, February 02, 2020

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. Is the Beijing govt quite transparent in handling the Wuhan virus episode?
2. Was the international media fair in reporting on the Wuhan virus episode?
3. Should Singaporeans patronize stalls run by locals only?
4. What is the likely source of the Wuhan coronavirus?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Quora: Is Trump’s trade war hurting farmers?

Roland Temmerman, masters Social Sciences & Political Science (1990) Answered Dec

Hello!

The answer is absolutely!

This reckless, ineffective trade war has forced many farmers into bankruptcy and the ones who’re still around are required to apply for food stamps due to their plunge of income.

A new Washington Post story about the difficulties American farmers are facing under President Donald Trump’s trade war reveals that some farmers have had to significantly reduce their food consumption to make up for plummeting incomes.

The story describes the struggles faced by Andy and Anne Lee, two dairy farmers who live in upstate New York who received a federal bailout check of $4,100 this year but who nevertheless recently applied for food stamps because they were still having trouble putting food on their table. Trump’s farmer bailout is now twice as big as the auto bailout as Trump begs rural America not to leave him: report

However, Lee so far has been unable to get her family’s SNAP benefits approved despite the fact that her net farm income was -$12,979 last year. After getting turned down in her initial request for food stamps, Lee went to her local food pantry to pick up necessary groceries.

According to the Post, the Lees are not alone in finding difficulty in getting financial assistance buying food during a tough times for farmers.

“An estimated 197,000 farmers, farmworkers, fishermen and forestry workers use SNAP, according to a study by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, but farmers say they sometimes find it difficult to qualify because of complicated rules governing self-employment income,” the Post explains. “And the Trump administration has long-term plans to tighten SNAP eligibility for many.”

The Lees said they voted for Trump in 2016 because they believed he was right to call out America’s trade imbalances. They still believe he has their best interests at heart, even though they acknowledge his trade war has harmed them.

“I know a lot of people don’t like it but, you know, this was going to have to happen in order to make U.S. products become more competitive,” Andy explained to the Post. “It’s going to hurt for a while.”

WOTC - Should the SDP case on POFMA be held in open court?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 55% said that the hearing of the SDP case on POFMA should be held in open court. 36% said that the court appeared to be bending to the govt's wishes. 7% said that it is better for the hearing to be heard in chambers.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1817

WOTC - Will the Wuhan virus get worse?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 41% of the respondents said that the Wuhan virus will cause a lot of concern from some time. 33% said that it will be worse than SARS. 26% said that it will be controlled quite soon.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1817

Saturday, February 01, 2020

Healthy 365 is complicated

The Healthy 365 app has many events, promotions, challenges and more.

I find them to be very confusing.

I only know that I have to clock in 10,000 steps a day to get points.

But I do not know how many points are awarded and if higher points are given for reaching a higher thresh-hold. I tried to look for the instructions but could not find them.

I am also confused with tier 1, tier 2, etc. I do not know how it works.

Why does the Health Promotion Board have to make this activity so complicated? How many people really understand what is going on?

I know that many activities in Singapore is complicated and convoluted. It seems to be our national culture. Perhaps, it is because our agencies are being run by scholars.

Treat foreigners equally and fairly

A few people suggested that I should patronise stalls run by Singaporeans and not foreigners. I do not agree with this suggestion.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2515

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues



1. How should the govt deal with fake news on the Wuhan virus?
2. Should temperature checks be implemented at the Johor checkpoints?
3. What is the best way to avoid being infected by the Wuhan virus

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Large increase in infection in Wuhan virus in China

I saw a report that there is a large increase in the actual number of people who are infected in China.

This increase is not caused by the spread of the virus, but by the availability of test kits to identify the infected people.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2511

Be prepared for the economic impact

Many Singaporeans are worried about the Wuhan crisis. 100,000 have signed a petition asking the government to stop the entry of people from China. The govt has now implemented this temporary ban.

They are now asking for temperature checks for travelers visiting from Johor.

I hope that our people are prepared for the economic impact that will follow the measures that are being taken.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2510

Temperature checks at checkpoints for travel to Johor

Many netizens are now asking why the immigration authority are not imposing temperature checks at the checkpoints to Johore?

I give my views.

a) The large volume of travelers make temperature checks difficult to carry out.

b) The temperature of the travelers are likely to be higher due to the long time (up to four hours) that they have to spend in crossing the checkpoints.

c) After implementing the check, we should next ask for temperature checks on people taking the MRT train as well?

OK, in short, I think it is not necessary at this time. I will change my mind if there is an exponential increase in infections. This has not occured yet.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2509









Are deaths from the Wuhan virus being deliberately underreported?

There is a post being circulated widely stating that the crematoria in China are working full time to cremate the bodies of victims of the Wuhan virus so as to underreport the actual impact.



I do not know if it was accompanied by a video showing how busy the crematoria are, and an interview with a worker who confirmed that the crematorium is indeed working at full steam.

Without the actual statistics, I believe that there is some truth in the statement. But it is only partially true.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2507

Thursday, January 30, 2020

SpaceX will eventually send a rocket to Mars, but they have other things to do in the meantime.

Elon Musk started a company called SpaceX. The goal was to build a rocket that could take people to Mars. That goal was inspiring, but it might be too "far off".

I learned that SpaceX has some more realistic goals. They were to put 40,000 satellites into space to provide broad band internet connection to the world.

So far, they have launched four missions, each with the goal of launching 60 satellites. A total of 240 satellites have been launched.

Elon Musk also have the making the rocket reusable. Previously, each rocket is used for one journey and is discarded.

How can this be achieved.

I learned from the latest rocket launch of Space X that they use the same type of rocket as used previously. It comprise of three stages. Each stage of the rocket carries the payload up to the next level before the rocket stage is discarded.

Now, here is the difference. Space X has a drone to catch the rocket stages after it is discarded. In this way, the rocket stage can be reused for the next rocket launch.

I am not sure if I have described this concept correctly. I hope that you get the picture.

Just imagine. if a rocket can be used many times, instead of one time, the cost of space journeys with the rocket can be reduced considerably.

Wow. What a genuis.

The right approach towards settlement of insurance claims

Do you like to be insured with an insurance company that has the right approach towards settlement of insurance claims? their claims officers treat the genuine cases with compassion and are helpful to customers.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=678&Name=The-right-mindset-on-insurance-claims&View=A

Cost of treating victims of Wuhan virus

Should the state bear the full cost of treating patients during an epidemic, such as the Wuhan virus?

While the minister for health is still undecided, let me share my views.
https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2502

Self driving vehicles


I read some news that Tesla will soon be launching self driving trucks for transportation of goods.

Think of it, it is an excellent idea. The autonomous trucks can be used for long distance travel on highways. They can travel at a safe speed and does not need to be at a fast speed. It would be easier to program an autonomous vehicle to run on a fixed route, rather than to deal with many unforeseen variables.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2501

Cancellation of flights due to unrest or epidemic

Dear Mr Tan,

I read a number of complains about a particular airline not willing to waive cancellation or rebooking penalties for people who want to defer or cancel their trip to Hong Kong (not China) in view of the current sentiments regarding the corona virus.

Many have accused the airline of putting profit above safety of its customers. Some have also cited reasons that HK has cancelled a number of tourist events and has closed Disney and Ocean Park.

I am puzzled why the airline would be asked to shoulder the full penalty/cost of the ticket cancellation through no fault of their own.

In the end the ones who might pay the price is the Airlines shareholders as well as their staff. Shouldn’t the traveler also shoulder some of the cost of his own safety? Perhaps a waiver of some of the cost of rebooking or cancellation rather than waiving all of it?

What is your view on this?


My reply:
The airlines expect their passengers to cover this risk through travel insurance. During this period, they are already suffering large losses due to the sharp drop in travel.

They are likely to stick to their contractual position and ask their passengers to bear the cost of change of flight or the loss of the entire fare.

I guess there are two sides of this coin. The passenger should take the risk or, if they are risk averse, buy insurance to cover this risk.

Read here
https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=677&Name=Cancellation-of-flights-due-to-unrest-or-epidemic&View=A






Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues


1. What was the biggest mistake made by LKY?
2. What is the biggest mistake made by LHL as PM?
3. Should the govt bear the full medical cost of treating citizens for Wuhan virus?
4. Should the govt evacuate the citizens that are stranded in Wuhan?


Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Are many PMETs losing their full time jobs?

Wisdom of the Crowd: 84% of the respondents said that many PMETs are losing their full time jobs and have to work as or delivery work.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1812

WOTC - Property market in 2020

Wisdom of the Crowd: 64% of the respondents expect the property market in 2020 to drop due to the economic slowdown and oversupply. 36% expect the market to recover.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1811

Do not believe in hearsay or rumors

In 1983, LHL was a colonel in the SAF. He directed an operation to rescue 13 people who were trapped in the cable car that got stuck when a drill ship collided with it. See here.

Many years later, a friend X told me that he heard from a friend Y that LHL was undecided and uncertain of how to direct the operations. He had to rely on the more experienced people to guide him on what to do. He related some incidents to color up his narrative.


https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2500

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues



1. China is able to lockdown Wuhan and block travel.
2. Will the Wuhan virus get out of control?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

There is no need to worry excessively about the Wuhan virus

Most people like to worry excessively about the Wuhan virus.

I want to take an optimistic view, which are:

a) The health authority in China and Singapore are dealing with the problem quite effectively.

b) The number of infected cases and deaths are still increasing, but they are in a linear proportion and not geometric proportion.

c) Given some time, the medical research should be able to find a remedy for the virus.

d) If the situation does get worse, I am confident that the health authority will take any additional steps that may be necessary.

There is no need to worry excessively or to suggest extreme measures to be taken or to sign petitions asking for these extreme measures. We can leave it to the experts to decide what is necessary to be done. They will do their best. We have to trust them. We should give them the space to do their work and not distract them with unhelpful alarm.

To back up my words, I have just added to my portfolio of China shares, which has been badly beaten down during the past week. I believe that a good solution will be found. If I am wrong, I shall end up with a big loss on my portfolio, OK?

I just bought shares in CapitaRetail China Trust.

It is listed in Singapore and is described by DBS bank as a real estate investment trust which invests in income-producing retail properties located mainly in China, Hong Kong, and Macau.

It has a PE ratio of 9.73 and a dividend yield of 6.64%.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=676&Name=CapitaRetail-China-Trust&View=A

Make it easy for customers to give feedback


Most organizations in Singapore adopt a crazy way for customers to give feedback.

They make it very difficult. They discourage online feedback and ask many unnecessary and troublesome questions. And they follow up with an automatic acknowledgement stating that the customer will get a reply within several days.

WOTC - Global stock markets

Wisdom of the Crowd: 28% said that global stock markets will advance further in 2020 as it is US election year. Another 28% said that they will be supported by low interest rate. The remaining 44% expect the stock markets to fall.

WOTC - Prerequisites for citizenship

Wisdom of the Crowd: 54% of the respondents said that the foreigner should have served national service before being granted citizenship. 28% said that they must have lived in Singapore for five years.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1809

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Very bad service from SingTel

I share my experience with SingTel customer service. It is very bad.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=2495

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues



1. Will Li Hongyi participate in the general election
2. How soon will a cure for the Wuhan virus be found?
3. Is the health minister proactive in dealing with the Wuhan virus?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Experience with ghosts

Wisdom of the Crowd: 49% of the respondents know of people who have experienced ghosts. 14% have personal experience of ghost.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1808

WOTC - Best outcome for the general election

Wisdom of the Crowd: 51% of the respondents preferred the PAP to be returned to power but to lose one third of the seats. 29% preferred the non PAP parties to form the govt. 20% preferred the PAP to be part of a coalition govt. Nobody wants the PAP to be returned with a strong mandate.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart.aspx?ID=1807

Monday, January 27, 2020

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues



1. How serious is the Wuhan virus epidemic?
2. Do you expect many people to die from the Wuhan virus?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

A democracy tends to favor the rich and the cronies

Singaporeans are very smart. They want to have a democratic govt that takes care of the people. They know how to choose.

Where can you find such a govt? Which country has this kind of govt?

Most of the democratic countries end up being corrupt. They take care of the rich and the cronies.

Why is this the case? It is in the nature of the democratic process.

Under a democratic process, one has to be elected by popular vote. The voters need to be "bribed" with goodies or with promises.

It is costly to give them goodies or promises. The candidates need a lot of money to run a campaign. They depend on the rich to finance them. So, the winning candidates are obligated to take care of the rich and the cronies.

Look at America. It is as corrupt as it can get. Look at one democratic country after another, including those nearer home.

If the democratic process is likely to be corrupt and the govt has to take care of the rich and the cronies, it is better to go for another govt. The alternative is a communist govt that has, as its core principle, the goal of uplifting the working class and the poor.

Can a communist govt be corrupt also? Yes, it can . But, it can also be relatively clean. In today's age, where many bad deeds can be publicized through social media. The obvious corrupt practices, such as demanding and collecting bribes, can be identified and dealt with.

It is more difficult to deal with the subtle corrupt practices, such as nepotism and cronyism, hiding under the guise of democracy and meritocracy.

Tan Kin Lian

Reliable information about the Wuhan virus

This is a useful report (thank you Straits Times) on the Wuhan virus. Up to now, it is not as severe as SARS or MERS (from Middle East), but we still don't know if it will grow worse. The fatality rate is low compared to SARS and MERS at this stage.

There are some videos going round that suggest that the epidemic is more serious and that the China authorities are understated the problem. There may be some under reporting, but the staggering numbers of fatalities and infected people being floated around are probably exaggerated and could be intentional fake news.

https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/wuhan-virus-versus-sars-which-is-more-deadly?

University in Iskandar

My friend sent his son to study in a British University campus in Educity, Iskandar. He said that the fees, without subsidy, is lower than the fees (after subsidy) in Singapore universities. He also liked the teaching method in the UK university.

He praised Najib for the progress in Malaysia during his tenure, including attracting the UK universities. He said that many universities attracted into Singapore closed down after a few years.

He brought me to the campus of the foreign universities in Iskandar. It was quite buzzing. In contrast, the campus operated by MDIS (a Singapore institution) in Educity was rather empty. He asked, why Singapore cannot make it?

Although most people think about the bad side of Najib (eg 1MDB), we should also look at his good side.

Betul, kah, bossku?

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