A friend asked me, "Will Chee Soon Juan win the Bukit Batok by-election?".
It will be tough, but may still be possible.
During the general election, The PAP win nearly 75% of the votes. CSJ need a swing of 25% to win the seat.
The swing in a by-election could be 15%. This was demonstrated in the Punggol East by-election.
CSJ could get another 5% to 10% from older Chinese votes, who do not speak English and prefer a Chinese MP. But this might not be enough to win the seat.
Some people still have a negative view of CSJ, but this could be balanced by others who now find him to be quite mellow and could speak well.
The final 5% could come from younger voters who may like his courage. I read that he is usually well received when he speak to younger people.
All the best to CSJ.