Saturday, August 07, 2021

Hypothesis - the virus reduce in severity over time

I want to make an observation and to put up a hypothesis.

When the covid virus first appeared in Wuhan, China, it was lethal. Many people died. It affected mostly the elderly people, but many young people also succumb to the virus.

It move to Italy and cause large fatalities. It then spread to other cities in Europe and America, with devastating results.

A few months later, the virus became less lethal. The death rate came down.

When happened? Here is my hypothesis. I suspect that the virus becomes less harmful over time.

WOTC - President Xi and China

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 76% of the respondents said that President Xi is good for China.

How effective are the vaccine against covid?

 The Ministry of Health issue table each day showing the total cases for the past 24 days by vaccination status and severity of illness.

Some people observed that more of the cases are for vaccinated people. They draw the wrong conclusion that the vaccine actually increase the infection rate.

See the explanation here.

WOTC - Are vaccines useful?

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 75% of the respondents said that vaccines are useful against the covid virus.

Hacking of personal data from servers

 Many people are paranoid that their personal data in servers may be stolen. I am not.

Friday, August 06, 2021

Digital display to improve bus service

 I make these suggestions to improve the information that is provided for bus travelers. It will encourage more people to take public transport.

Thursday, August 05, 2021

My investment in Sensionics

 I bought the shares of Sensionics in anticipation of the approval of their CGM device that is used by diabetics.

Profitable trade on Cassava Science (SAVA)

 I made a good profit of $10,700 USD by buying Cassava Science (SAVA) after a sharp price correction. I sell off the shares soon after the rebound.

How to handle people who choose to remain unvaccinated

 The government has spent a lot of effort in getting people to be vaccinated against covid-19.

However, some people chose to be unvaccinated for various reasons. Most of these cases are people who believe that the vaccine is more harmful than good.

What can the government do?

Here is my answer:

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should Safe Distancing Enforcement Officer search homes without warrants?
2. Should the govt impose restrictions on private tuition?

Vote in

Why are some people not infected by a close contact?

We pay a lot of attention to the transmission of the virus from an infected person to another person.

However, we are not paying attention to the non-transmission of the virus.

What do I mean?

If an infected person transmit the virus to another person in the same household, why are the other persons in the same household, who have the same exposure, not infected?

If we pay attention to the uninfected people, who have similar exposures, we may learn something about the resistance to the transmission.

Perhaps, a study can be carried out on the people in these households.

Wednesday, August 04, 2021

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Is it important for Singapore to create a core of local essential workers?
2. What is the best way to make it attractive for locals to be essential workers

Vote in

Tuesday, August 03, 2021

Human rights abuses in Xinjiang

 Some people genuinely believe that there are human right abuses in Xinjiang because they have met people who experienced these abuses.

However, it is likely that they were misled.

Breakthrough infection

 Can vaccinated people still get infected? How serious will it be?

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. How should government deal with people who chose to be unvaccinated?
2. Should people be allowed to protest against vaccination?

Vote in

WOTC - China and Australia

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 66% of the respondents said that China should not agree to resolve differences with Australia under the present circumstances.

Takeover ofSPH by Keppel Corp

 It appears to me that the SPH shareholders are better off in keeping their existing SPH shares rather than the cash and REITS that are offered by Keppel Corp.

My trading in bitcoin

 Here is a report on my trading experience with bitcoin.

Sunday, August 01, 2021

Ministers should provide clear leadership and listen to the people

I had a Zoom meeting with a Singaporean friend, X, who has lived overseas for several years. He followed the politics in Singapore closely through the internet.

X made the following remarks:

1. The 4G leaders are not giving a clear message to the people on their handling of the pandemic.

2. The 4G leaders are not listening to the views of the general

I gave my views.

Can the people in China question the CCP leaders?

Someone said - people in China does not question their CCP leaders.

I disagree with this statement. Here are my reasons:

Use logic, reasoning and statistical knowledge

 Someone asked me if I watched videos of doctors who hold alternative opinions, e.g. about the risk of vaccination.

I do.
I watched many alternative videos (but not all of them).
I use my logic, reasoning and knowledge of statistics to know what is reliable and what is not.
Some of these doctors with alternative views talk about the possibility that the virus can cause certain kinds of side effects.
My common sense tells me that we should differentiate between the rare case and the majority of cases. We should use what is statistically significant to make decisions, i.e. cannot decide on the rare cases.
Some of these doctors want to build up a channel of followers. They exaggerate the rare cases and hope that many people (I shall not call them idiots) follow them.
I decide what is relevant and what is not. I share the videos and views that I find to be reliable and useful. They are meant for people who trust that I know how to use logic, reasoning and common sense.
People who think that they are smarter than me are not required to agree with me. But I do not wish to spend (waste) my time to debate with them.

Provide email and telephone number of ACRA entities

I wanted to search for the email and telephone of a company called KingRex Solutions Pte Ltd.

I found several websites that take information from ACRA.
For example
They show a lot of information but not the email address and telephone number.
Surely, in the modern era, the email address and telephone number provided by the registered ACRA entity is more important than the physical address?
I suggest that this information be provided by ACRA.

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