Saturday, November 06, 2021

Measuring the covid transmission rate


The Ministry of Health (MOH) reported:
As of 5 November 2021, 12pm, the Ministry of Health has detected a total of 1,767 new cases of COVID-19 infection, comprising 1,639 community cases, 120 dormitory resident cases and 8 imported cases. Amongst the community cases today are 284 seniors who are aged 60 years and above. The ratio of community cases for the past week over the week before is 0.81.
The fall in the number of cases today is likely due to fewer swabs being done over the Deepavali Public Holiday at Public Health Preparedness Clinics (PHPCs) and polyclinics.
I suggest a measure of the growth rate that can overcome the distortion caused by the number of tests carried out.

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