Hypothesis - the virus reduce in severity over time

I want to make an observation and to put up a hypothesis.

When the covid virus first appeared in Wuhan, China, it was lethal. Many people died. It affected mostly the elderly people, but many young people also succumb to the virus.

It move to Italy and cause large fatalities. It then spread to other cities in Europe and America, with devastating results.

A few months later, the virus became less lethal. The death rate came down.

When happened? Here is my hypothesis. I suspect that the virus becomes less harmful over time.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4652

WOTC - President Xi and China

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 76% of the respondents said that President Xi is good for China.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2363

How effective are the vaccine against covid?

 The Ministry of Health issue table each day showing the total cases for the past 24 days by vaccination status and severity of illness.

Some people observed that more of the cases are for vaccinated people. They draw the wrong conclusion that the vaccine actually increase the infection rate.

See the explanation here.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4651

WOTC - Are vaccines useful?

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 75% of the respondents said that vaccines are useful against the covid virus.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2365

Hacking of personal data from servers

 Many people are paranoid that their personal data in servers may be stolen. I am not.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4647

Digital display to improve bus service

 I make these suggestions to improve the information that is provided for bus travelers. It will encourage more people to take public transport.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4646

My investment in Sensionics

 I bought the shares of Sensionics in anticipation of the approval of their CGM device that is used by diabetics.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1034&Name=Investment-in-Sensionics-(SENS)&View=A

Profitable trade on Cassava Science (SAVA)

 I made a good profit of $10,700 USD by buying Cassava Science (SAVA) after a sharp price correction. I sell off the shares soon after the rebound.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1033&Name=Profitable-trade-on-Cassava-Science-(SAVA)&View=A

How to handle people who choose to remain unvaccinated

 The government has spent a lot of effort in getting people to be vaccinated against covid-19.

However, some people chose to be unvaccinated for various reasons. Most of these cases are people who believe that the vaccine is more harmful than good.

What can the government do?

Here is my answer:

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4643

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should Safe Distancing Enforcement Officer search homes without warrants?
2. Should the govt impose restrictions on private tuition?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Why are some people not infected by a close contact?

We pay a lot of attention to the transmission of the virus from an infected person to another person.

However, we are not paying attention to the non-transmission of the virus.

What do I mean?

If an infected person transmit the virus to another person in the same household, why are the other persons in the same household, who have the same exposure, not infected?

If we pay attention to the uninfected people, who have similar exposures, we may learn something about the resistance to the transmission.

Perhaps, a study can be carried out on the people in these households.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4642

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Is it important for Singapore to create a core of local essential workers?
2. What is the best way to make it attractive for locals to be essential workers

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Human rights abuses in Xinjiang

 Some people genuinely believe that there are human right abuses in Xinjiang because they have met people who experienced these abuses.

However, it is likely that they were misled.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4635

Breakthrough infection

 Can vaccinated people still get infected? How serious will it be?

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4634

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. How should government deal with people who chose to be unvaccinated?
2. Should people be allowed to protest against vaccination?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - China and Australia

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 66% of the respondents said that China should not agree to resolve differences with Australia under the present circumstances.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2362

Takeover ofSPH by Keppel Corp

 It appears to me that the SPH shareholders are better off in keeping their existing SPH shares rather than the cash and REITS that are offered by Keppel Corp.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1032&Name=My-view-on-the-takeover-of-SPH-by-Keppel-Corp&View=A

My trading in bitcoin

 Here is a report on my trading experience with bitcoin.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1031&Name=My-trading-in-bitcoin&View=A

Investment in Tesla stock

 I share this story about my recent investment in Tesla stock.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1030&Name=Delayed-price-increase-for-Tesla&View=A

WOTC - Second investigation of Wuhan lab

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 74% of the respondents said that China should not allow the World Health Organization to investigate the Wuhan lab for a second time.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2361

Ministers should provide clear leadership and listen to the people

I had a Zoom meeting with a Singaporean friend, X, who has lived overseas for several years. He followed the politics in Singapore closely through the internet.

X made the following remarks:

1. The 4G leaders are not giving a clear message to the people on their handling of the pandemic.

2. The 4G leaders are not listening to the views of the general

public.

I gave my views.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4630

Can the people in China question the CCP leaders?

Someone said - people in China does not question their CCP leaders.

I disagree with this statement. Here are my reasons:

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4629

Use logic, reasoning and statistical knowledge

 Someone asked me if I watched videos of doctors who hold alternative opinions, e.g. about the risk of vaccination.

I do.

I watched many alternative videos (but not all of them).

I use my logic, reasoning and knowledge of statistics to know what is reliable and what is not.

Some of these doctors with alternative views talk about the possibility that the virus can cause certain kinds of side effects.

My common sense tells me that we should differentiate between the rare case and the majority of cases. We should use what is statistically significant to make decisions, i.e. cannot decide on the rare cases.

Some of these doctors want to build up a channel of followers. They exaggerate the rare cases and hope that many people (I shall not call them idiots) follow them.

I decide what is relevant and what is not. I share the videos and views that I find to be reliable and useful. They are meant for people who trust that I know how to use logic, reasoning and common sense.

People who think that they are smarter than me are not required to agree with me. But I do not wish to spend (waste) my time to debate with them.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4628

Provide email and telephone number of ACRA entities

I wanted to search for the email and telephone of a company called KingRex Solutions Pte Ltd.

I found several websites that take information from ACRA.

For example

https://www.sgpbusiness.com/company/Kingrex-Solution-Pte-Ltd

They show a lot of information but not the email address and telephone number.

Surely, in the modern era, the email address and telephone number provided by the registered ACRA entity is more important than the physical address?

I suggest that this information be provided by ACRA.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4627

My investment in Cassava Science (SAVA)

 I share my experience in investing in Cassava Science (SAVA)

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1029&Name=Unexpected-price-movement-in-Cassava-Science-(SAVA)&View=A

LCD display at bus stops

 Many cities have a LCD display showing the bus services and the arrival time of the next bus.

Here are my views about this system.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4623

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. What will happen to Afghanistan after the withdrawal of US troops?
2. Will there be a military conflict in the South China Sea?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Revert to Phase 2 Heightened Alert

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 54% of the respondents agreed with the government's decision to reimpose the restrictions under Phase 2 Heightened Alert.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2360

Put our LRT systems to better use.

 https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4619

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Is China taking a hard line towards relations with America?
2. Will the covid virus remain under control in Singapore?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Misleading headlines used by western media

 This is how the western media demonized China.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4616

WOTC - Cyber attack on US servers

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 74% of the respondents said that China was not responsible for the cyber attack on US servers.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2359

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Is Xi Jinping good for China?
2. Should vaccination be made compulsory?
3. Is vaccination useful to fight covid?

Vote in
https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

Future of Singapore

I am worried about the future for Singapore.

I get the impression that during the past 18 months, most of our ministers are focused on fighting the covid pandemic. 

What about other important matters, such as:

- running the country?

- making sure that our people have jobs?

- combating crime?

- make sure that Singapore remains competitive in the new global economy?

- address the pressures of our education system?

- encouraging our young families to have children?

- ensure that our national defense is reliable?

We have so many problems that need to be addressed. The job of the ministers is not just to combat covid (although it is important) and to set complicated rules on social distancing.

I could be wrong. Maybe they are also paying attention to these important issues. 

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4615

Respect the scholars and experts

 In the old days, a small proportion of the population are scholars . They are people who knows how to reason and use logic.

The rest of the population are good in other skills -to be farmers, craftsmen, traders, builders, etc.

The ordinary people respect the scholars for their knowledge and ability to reach the right decisions. They do not think that they are smarter than the scholars.

By scholars, I now include the experts in the special fields of medicine, law, finance, engineering, etc.

Today, we have a system where we educate most people to their level of incompetence. Many people think that they are smart, but in actuality they lack the skill of reasoning and logic.

Worse, they do not respect the experts. They think that they are smarter than the experts.

I am not saying that the system in the old days are perfect. The scholars and experts can also make mistakes and act corruptly.

But the old system where there is respect for scholars and experts is better than today, where everyone thinks that he or she is an expert.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4610

Allow vaccinated people to resume normal activities

Prof Tommy Koh suggested that vaccinated people should be allowed to resume normal lives and that unvaccinated people should not be allowed to visit crowded places and restaurants.

Many people responded strongly against this suggestion. They argued that this is discriminatory and unfair to the people who choose to be unvaccinated for various reasons - some are not medically fit to be vaccinated while others think that vaccination is more harmful than good.

The argument that the proposal is discriminatory is just one perspective. I see the issue from a different perspective. 

At present, the entire population is being restricted from normal activities to prevent the spread of the virus. 

The proposal put forward by Prof Koh is to allow the vaccinated people to resume their normal activities as the risk of the infection is reduced considerably by the vaccination. 

Although the vaccinated people can still be infected, the virus is likely to be mild. It will not harm the infected person, who will recover after a few days. 

Furthermore, the virus is less likely to spread when it is in a mild state. 

I believe that it is quite safe to allow the vaccinated people to resume their normal activities, such as visiting restaurants, gyms and to resume international travel.

Although the risk is low, the vaccinated people are still advised to continue to wear a mask and to practice social distancing in crowded places.

Instead of describing the proposal as "penalizing the unvaccinated", it should be described as "allowing the vaccinated people, who are low risk, to resume their normal activities. 

Several countries have already taken this step. Prof Koh's proposal is along the same lines.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4609

Is vaccination useful?

 Some people argued that vaccination is not useful as many vaccinated people are being infected anyway.

Here is my view on the data.

https://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4608

WOTC - Will Hong Kong do well as an independent country?

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 52% of the respondents said that Hong Kong will do well as an independent country.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2358

Tesla stock price

 Will Tesla price move up after the excellent results for Q2 of 2021? Here is my view.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1027&Name=Price-movements-for-Tesla-after-release-of-Q2-2021-results&View=A

Tesla's results for Q2 of 2021 were excellent

 Tesla's results were excellent.

Here are two videos

Dave Lee

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMye3I4vsx4&t=24s

Tesla Daily

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMye3I4vsx4&t=24s

The profit on automotive sales exceeded analysts' expectations.

I made an optimistic forecast earlier and was quite accurate.

https://fisca.sg/ArticleDisplay.aspx?ID=1026&Name=Tesla%27s-results-for-Q2-of-2021-were-excellent&View=A

Use of ivermectin to treat covid

 Here are my views about the use of ivermectin to treat covid patients.

I may not be a medical professional, but I use my common sense after reading the reports on the use of this drug.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4601

WOTC - Change policy on National Service

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 78% of the respondents said that the current policy on National Service should be changed.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2357

Wisdom of the Crowd - New Issues

1. Should China allow WHO to investigate the Wuhan lab a second time?

2. Should China agree to request from Australia to meet and resolve their differences?

Vote in

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/vote.aspx

WOTC - Reduce the disadvantage faced by locals in job market

 Wisdom of the Crowd: 58% of the respondents said that the inflow of foreigners should be restricted to reduce the disadvantage faced by locals in the job market.

https://tklcloud.com/Crowd2/chart3.aspx?id=2356

Restrictions on dine-in

 This new arrangement will reduce the loss of business suffered by the food outlets and, at the same time, help to contain the spread of the covid virus.

http://tklcloud.com/Feedback/feedback2.aspx?id=4600